UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UTEP
  
UTEP                  
W-L: (13-37) PR = 88.6368

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 4- 9 206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 0- 8 207 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 16-15 207 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 9- 8 208 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 2-12 208 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 10- 5 213 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 6- 8 213 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 5 214 H Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 5- 4 214 H Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 15-14 215 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-34 215 A Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 5- 3 227 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 227 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 7- 8 228 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 2- 7 228 A Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 7 301 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3 301 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3 303 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 2- 3 306 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 0- 6 307 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 5-13 308 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 3- 2 310 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1-10 313 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4 314 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3-10 314 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2-10 319 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 8 320 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 9 321 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 3-11 327 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 7- 1 328 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 0 329 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 9-10 402 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 9 403 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 4- 6 404 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 6 407 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0-13 410 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3- 8 411 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 3 412 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 8 417 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 9 417 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 7 419 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 8 422 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0-16 422 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-11 424 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 1- 3 425 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 0- 8 426 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 430 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 0- 5 430 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0- 5 502 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Utah Valley             4- 9      -5    -2    -     -3.06
   206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota    0- 8      -8    -7          -1.09
   207 H UT Arlington           16-15       1    -2    +      2.77
   207 H UT Arlington            9- 8       1    -2    +      2.77
   208 H UMass Lowell            2-12     -10     0    ---  -10.02
   208 H Utah Valley            10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.94
   213 H Minnesota               6- 8      -2    -2          -0.18
   213 H Idaho State             3- 5      -2    -2          -0.05
   214 H Montana                 5- 4       1     0           1.38
   214 H Montana                15-14       1     0           1.38
   215 H Oklahoma                0-34     -34   -11    -     -3.48
   215 A Saint Joseph's          5- 3       2    -2    +      3.65
   227 H Houston Christian       3- 2       1     1          -0.43
   227 A New Mexico              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.30
   228 A Tarleton State          2- 7      -5    -4          -1.42
   228 A Houston Christian       5- 7      -2     0          -1.95
   301 H Tarleton State         16- 3      13    -2    +++   15.09
   301 H Tarleton State         16- 3      13    -2    +++   15.09
   303 H New Mexico              2- 3      -1    -3           1.82
   306 H Sam Houston             0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.74
   307 H Sam Houston             5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.74
   308 H Sam Houston             3- 2       1    -2    +      3.26
   310 H Arizona State           1-10      -9    -7          -1.93
   313 A FIU                     3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.75
   314 A FIU                     3-10      -7    -5    -     -2.25
   314 A FIU                     2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.25
   319 H Liberty                 1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.01
   320 H Liberty                 1- 9      -8    -3    --    -5.01
   321 H Liberty                 3-11      -8    -3    --    -5.01
   327 H East Carolina           7- 1       6    -2    +++    7.90
   328 H Iowa                    5- 0       5    -4    +++    8.58
   329 A Kennesaw State          9-10      -1     0          -0.90
   402 H Delaware                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.93
   403 H Delaware                4- 6      -2    -2           0.07
   404 H Delaware                3- 6      -3    -2          -0.93
   407 A Arizona State           0-13     -13    -9    --    -4.45
   410 A New Mexico State        3- 8      -5    -4          -0.98
   411 A New Mexico State        0- 3      -3    -4           1.02
   412 A New Mexico State        0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.98
   417 A Western Kentucky        0- 9      -9    -6    -     -3.31
   417 A Western Kentucky        1- 7      -6    -6          -0.31
   419 A Western Kentucky        3- 8      -5    -6           0.69
   422 H Texas Tech              0-16     -16   -10    --    -4.14
   422 H Texas Tech              1-11     -10   -10          -0.14
   424 H Missouri State          1- 3      -2    -1          -0.58
   425 A New Mexico              0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.70
   426 A Sam Houston             6- 3       3    -4    +++    6.75
   430 H McNeese                 0- 5      -5    -3          -1.57
   430 H Louisiana Tech          0- 5      -5    -3          -1.59
   502 A Louisiana Tech          0- 8      -8    -5    -     -3.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H UMass Lowell            2-12     -10     0    ---  -10.02
   307 H Sam Houston             5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.74
   319 H Liberty                 1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.01
   320 H Liberty                 1- 9      -8    -3    --    -5.01
   321 H Liberty                 3-11      -8    -3    --    -5.01
   407 A Arizona State           0-13     -13    -9    --    -4.45
   422 H Texas Tech              0-16     -16   -10    --    -4.14
   206 H Utah Valley             4- 9      -5    -2    -     -3.06
   215 H Oklahoma                0-34     -34   -11    -     -3.48
   306 H Sam Houston             0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.74
   314 A FIU                     3-10      -7    -5    -     -2.25
   314 A FIU                     2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.25
   402 H Delaware                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.93
   412 A New Mexico State        0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.98
   417 A Western Kentucky        0- 9      -9    -6    -     -3.31
   425 A New Mexico              0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.70
   502 A Louisiana Tech          0- 8      -8    -5    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Utah Valley            10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.94
   301 H Tarleton State         16- 3      13    -2    +++   15.09
   301 H Tarleton State         16- 3      13    -2    +++   15.09
   327 H East Carolina           7- 1       6    -2    +++    7.90
   328 H Iowa                    5- 0       5    -4    +++    8.58
   426 A Sam Houston             6- 3       3    -4    +++    6.75
   207 H UT Arlington           16-15       1    -2    +      2.77
   207 H UT Arlington            9- 8       1    -2    +      2.77
   215 A Saint Joseph's          5- 3       2    -2    +      3.65
   227 A New Mexico              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.30
   308 H Sam Houston             3- 2       1    -2    +      3.26
   313 A FIU                     3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.75

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     4- 9       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.50            -2.35
   3 H St. Thomas-Min  (12- 7, 96.3)     0- 8       -3.61      15.76      -0.74         0.50            -1.10
   3 H UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)    16-15       -8.75      10.62      -0.74         0.50             9.96
   3 H UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     9- 8       -8.75      10.62      -0.74         0.50             9.96
   3 H UMass Lowell    ( 2- 4, 89.4)     2-12      -10.54       8.83      -0.74         0.50            -2.84
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)    10- 5       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.50            10.13
   3 H Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     6- 8       -8.70      10.67      -0.74         0.50            -2.38
   3 H Idaho State     ( 8-10, 91.3)     3- 5       -8.57      10.80      -0.74         0.50            -2.35
   3 H Montana         ( 1- 8, 89.8)     5- 4      -10.14       9.23      -0.74         0.50             8.55
   3 H Montana         ( 1- 8, 89.8)    15-14      -10.14       9.23      -0.74         0.50             8.55
   3 H Oklahoma        (51-11, 99.9)     0-34       -0.00      19.37      -0.74         0.50            -0.19
   3 A Saint Joseph's  ( 3-11, 89.5)     5- 3      -10.36       9.01       0.74         0.50             9.83
   3 H Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     3- 2      -11.96       7.41      -0.74         0.50             6.73
   3 A New Mexico      (26-27, 92.2)     7- 8       -7.70      11.67       0.74         0.50            -1.75
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     2- 7       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.50            -1.94
   3 A Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     5- 7      -11.96       7.41       0.74         0.50            -2.83
   3 H Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)    16- 3       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.50            10.28
   3 H Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)    16- 3       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.50            10.28
   3 H New Mexico      (26-27, 92.2)     2- 3       -7.70      11.67      -0.74         0.50            -2.13
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     0- 6       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.50            -2.27
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     5-13       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.50            -2.27
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     3- 2       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.50            10.45
   3 H Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     1-10       -3.45      15.92      -0.74         0.50            -1.06
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     3- 4       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.50            -1.64
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     3-10       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.50            -1.64
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     2-10       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.50            -1.64
   3 H Liberty         (27-26, 92.4)     1- 8       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.50            -2.09
   3 H Liberty         (27-26, 92.4)     1- 9       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.50            -2.09
   3 H Liberty         (27-26, 92.4)     3-11       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.50            -2.09
   3 H East Carolina   (31-27, 91.3)     7- 1       -8.62      10.75      -0.74         0.50            10.09
   3 H Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)     5- 0       -6.94      12.43      -0.74         0.50            11.78
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)     9-10      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.50            -2.81
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     3- 9       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.50            -2.32
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     4- 6       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.50            -2.32
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     3- 6       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.50            -2.32
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     0-13       -3.45      15.92       0.74         0.50            -0.68
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     3- 8       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.50            -1.83
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     0- 3       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.50            -1.83
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     0- 8       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.50            -1.83
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     0- 9       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.50            -1.40
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     1- 7       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.50            -1.40
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     3- 8       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.50            -1.40
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     0-16       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.50            -0.35
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     1-11       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.50            -0.35
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     1- 3       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.50            -2.48
   3 A New Mexico      (26-27, 92.2)     0- 8       -7.70      11.67       0.74         0.50            -1.75
   3 A Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     6- 3       -8.26      11.11       0.74         0.50            11.95
   3 H McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)     0- 5       -7.09      12.28      -0.74         0.50            -1.97
   3 H Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     0- 5       -7.11      12.26      -0.74         0.50            -1.98
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     0- 8       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.50            -1.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        61.29

winning pts = 128.5560 losing points = -67.2624

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------