UTEP 
W-L: (13-37) PR = 88.6368
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 4- 9
206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 0- 8
207 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 16-15
207 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 9- 8
208 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 2-12
208 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 10- 5
213 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 6- 8
213 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 5
214 H Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 5- 4
214 H Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 15-14
215 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-34
215 A Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 5- 3
227 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2
227 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 7- 8
228 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 2- 7
228 A Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 7
301 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3
301 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3
303 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 2- 3
306 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 0- 6
307 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 5-13
308 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 3- 2
310 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1-10
313 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4
314 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3-10
314 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2-10
319 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 8
320 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 9
321 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 3-11
327 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 7- 1
328 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 0
329 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 9-10
402 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 9
403 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 4- 6
404 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 6
407 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0-13
410 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3- 8
411 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 3
412 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 8
417 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 9
417 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 7
419 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 8
422 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0-16
422 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-11
424 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 1- 3
425 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 0- 8
426 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3
430 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 0- 5
430 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0- 5
502 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Utah Valley 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.06
206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 0- 8 -8 -7 -1.09
207 H UT Arlington 16-15 1 -2 + 2.77
207 H UT Arlington 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.77
208 H UMass Lowell 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.02
208 H Utah Valley 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.94
213 H Minnesota 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.18
213 H Idaho State 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.05
214 H Montana 5- 4 1 0 1.38
214 H Montana 15-14 1 0 1.38
215 H Oklahoma 0-34 -34 -11 - -3.48
215 A Saint Joseph's 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.65
227 H Houston Christian 3- 2 1 1 -0.43
227 A New Mexico 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.30
228 A Tarleton State 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.42
228 A Houston Christian 5- 7 -2 0 -1.95
301 H Tarleton State 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 15.09
301 H Tarleton State 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 15.09
303 H New Mexico 2- 3 -1 -3 1.82
306 H Sam Houston 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.74
307 H Sam Houston 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.74
308 H Sam Houston 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.26
310 H Arizona State 1-10 -9 -7 -1.93
313 A FIU 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.75
314 A FIU 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.25
314 A FIU 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.25
319 H Liberty 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.01
320 H Liberty 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -5.01
321 H Liberty 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.01
327 H East Carolina 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.90
328 H Iowa 5- 0 5 -4 +++ 8.58
329 A Kennesaw State 9-10 -1 0 -0.90
402 H Delaware 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.93
403 H Delaware 4- 6 -2 -2 0.07
404 H Delaware 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.93
407 A Arizona State 0-13 -13 -9 -- -4.45
410 A New Mexico State 3- 8 -5 -4 -0.98
411 A New Mexico State 0- 3 -3 -4 1.02
412 A New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.98
417 A Western Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -6 - -3.31
417 A Western Kentucky 1- 7 -6 -6 -0.31
419 A Western Kentucky 3- 8 -5 -6 0.69
422 H Texas Tech 0-16 -16 -10 -- -4.14
422 H Texas Tech 1-11 -10 -10 -0.14
424 H Missouri State 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.58
425 A New Mexico 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.70
426 A Sam Houston 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.75
430 H McNeese 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.57
430 H Louisiana Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.59
502 A Louisiana Tech 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H UMass Lowell 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.02
307 H Sam Houston 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.74
319 H Liberty 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.01
320 H Liberty 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -5.01
321 H Liberty 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.01
407 A Arizona State 0-13 -13 -9 -- -4.45
422 H Texas Tech 0-16 -16 -10 -- -4.14
206 H Utah Valley 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.06
215 H Oklahoma 0-34 -34 -11 - -3.48
306 H Sam Houston 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.74
314 A FIU 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.25
314 A FIU 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.25
402 H Delaware 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.93
412 A New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.98
417 A Western Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -6 - -3.31
425 A New Mexico 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.70
502 A Louisiana Tech 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.11
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Utah Valley 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.94
301 H Tarleton State 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 15.09
301 H Tarleton State 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 15.09
327 H East Carolina 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.90
328 H Iowa 5- 0 5 -4 +++ 8.58
426 A Sam Houston 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.75
207 H UT Arlington 16-15 1 -2 + 2.77
207 H UT Arlington 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.77
215 A Saint Joseph's 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.65
227 A New Mexico 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.30
308 H Sam Houston 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.26
313 A FIU 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.75
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 4- 9 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.50 -2.35
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 0- 8 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.50 -1.10
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 16-15 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 9.96
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 9- 8 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 9.96
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 2-12 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.50 -2.84
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 10- 5 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.50 10.13
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 6- 8 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.50 -2.38
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 5 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.50 -2.35
3 H Montana ( 1- 8, 89.8) 5- 4 -10.14 9.23 -0.74 0.50 8.55
3 H Montana ( 1- 8, 89.8) 15-14 -10.14 9.23 -0.74 0.50 8.55
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0-34 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.50 -0.19
3 A Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 5- 3 -10.36 9.01 0.74 0.50 9.83
3 H Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 -11.96 7.41 -0.74 0.50 6.73
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 7- 8 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.50 -1.75
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 2- 7 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 A Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 7 -11.96 7.41 0.74 0.50 -2.83
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.50 10.28
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 16- 3 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.50 10.28
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 2- 3 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.50 -2.13
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 0- 6 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 -2.27
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 5-13 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 -2.27
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 3- 2 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 10.45
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1-10 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.50 -1.06
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.50 -1.64
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 3-10 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.50 -1.64
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 2-10 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.50 -1.64
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 1- 8 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 1- 9 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 3-11 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 7- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.50 10.09
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 5- 0 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.50 11.78
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 9-10 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.50 -2.81
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 3- 9 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.50 -2.32
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 4- 6 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.50 -2.32
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 3- 6 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.50 -2.32
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 0-13 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.50 -0.68
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 3- 8 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.50 -1.83
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 0- 3 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.50 -1.83
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 0- 8 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.50 -1.83
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 0- 9 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 1- 7 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 3- 8 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0-16 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.50 -0.35
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1-11 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.50 -0.35
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 1- 3 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.50 -2.48
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 0- 8 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.50 -1.75
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.50 11.95
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 0- 5 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.50 -1.97
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 0- 5 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.50 -1.98
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 0- 8 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.50 -1.61
------
61.29
|
winning pts = 128.5560 losing points = -67.2624
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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